UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$374.72
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 342h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 341.6h
- 22:23SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 342h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.
Biggest hourly move: -16.0pp at 2d ago (to 36¢).
Show top 8 of 29 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -15.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -15.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -15.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -15.0pp → 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢+0.5pp
Will Roman Kopylov win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will Marco Tulio win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢0.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
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- 52¢+1.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
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- 50¢0.0pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-56.5pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Roman Kopylov" if Roman Kopylov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marco Tulio at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Marco Tulio" if Marco Tulio is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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