UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$1.9K
Liquidity
$195.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Expiry in 15h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 15.1h
- 12:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 19¢-13.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢+0.5pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 17¢-12.5pp
Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-8.0pp
Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 37¢+7.5pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $8.16
- 63¢+8.5pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $652.35
- 32¢-20.5pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 41¢0.0pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Sedriques Dumas" if Sedriques Dumas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).