O/U 2.5 Rounds

1. 1

   Down 21pp over 24h

   Now 32¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 40.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

4. 4

   Expiry in 14h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

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Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Sedriques Dumas and Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Sedriques Dumas and Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.