UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$12.43
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $1.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 181.2h
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 43¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 43¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 43¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 43¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 43¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 42¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 42¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 42¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 43¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 43¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 43¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 40¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 47¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
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Fight to Go the Distance?
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Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
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Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
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O/U 0.5 Rounds
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Shamil Gaziev" if Shamil Gaziev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Brando Pericic" if Brando Pericic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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