UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Probability
64¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$2.0K
Liquidity
$31.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 64¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 55h.
- 03Resolution proximity
Expiry in 55h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 55 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 55.1h
- 20:56SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 55h.
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 64¢.
Biggest hourly move: +13.0pp at 2d ago (to 65¢).
Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +12.5pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +12.5pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 65¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Fight to Go the Distance?
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- 33¢+0.5
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Tai Tuivasa" if Tai Tuivasa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Louie Sutherland at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Louie Sutherland" if Louie Sutherland is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Alerts
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