UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Probability
44¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-19.5pp
24h Vol
$101.79
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 20pp over 24h
Now 44¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 349h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 40.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 349.2h
- 14:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 349h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 46¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 64¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢+0.5pp
O/U 3.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-1.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Will Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢-0.5pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢-1.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-42.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $3.1M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 47¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $913.1K
- 4¢+0.4pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $805.2K
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $777.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Tatsuro Taira" if Tatsuro Taira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Joshua Van" if Joshua Van is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (40.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).