UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
Probability
21¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $2.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 183.5h
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 53¢-0.5pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Tim Elliott win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢-0.5pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢+1.5pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢-0.5pp
Will Steve Erceg win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).