UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$15.71
Liquidity
$573.19
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 187.4h
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 43¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 43¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 43¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 43¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 43¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 43¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 43¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 43¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 43¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 43¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 42¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 42¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 42¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 43¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 43¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 43¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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14- 51¢+0.5pp
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Other · Vol $0.00
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O/U 0.5 Rounds
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O/U 1.5 Rounds
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Vince Morales" if Vince Morales is officially declared the winner of the fight against Colby Thicknesse at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).