UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)
Probability
36¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$675.59
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 36¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 180.0h
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 37¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 37¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 37¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 37¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 37¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 37¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 37¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 37¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 37¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 35¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Wes Schultz win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢0.0pp
Will Ben Johnston win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢0.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢0.0pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-42.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $3.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 1¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $870.7K
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $834.7K
- 4¢+0.1pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $795.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Wes Schultz" if Wes Schultz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ben Johnston at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Ben Johnston" if Ben Johnston is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).