Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner
Probability
32¢
1h
-26.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$5.4K
Liquidity
$15.0K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Resolves in 3h.
The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Expires in 3h.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $15.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 13:00Scheduled resolutionHIGH
Market resolves in 3.4h
- 09:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3h.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 32¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
1- BUYALL GAMERSMay 30, 09:33 UTC
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant 3rd Place match between All Gamers and TYLOO in the China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "All Gamers" if All Gamers win Map 1 against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win Map 1 against All Gamers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
valorantReason
Question text matched the sports hard-marker "valorant" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner"?
As of Sat, 30 May 2026 09:37:36 GMT, YES is priced at 32% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, -26.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 30, 2026 (2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://vlr.gg.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$5.4K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $5.4K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $15.0K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 3.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.