Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON - Map 2 Winner
Probability
75¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$542.69
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+25.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 75¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 111.0h
- 01:57SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 75¢.
Biggest hourly move: +31.5pp at 1d ago (to 79¢).
Show top 8 of 70 hourly moves
- 19:00 · +30.5pp → 78¢
- 10:00 · +30.5pp → 78¢
- 03:00 · +31.0pp → 79¢
- 02:00 · +31.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +31.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +31.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +31.5pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +31.5pp → 79¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Semifinal 1 match between CGN Esports and RIZON in the VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CGN Esports" if CGN Esports win Map 2 against RIZON. This market will resolve to "RIZON" if RIZON win Map 2 against CGN Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.