Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+40.9pp
24h Vol
$18.3K
Liquidity
$255.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+28.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 41pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $18.3k traded against $255.2k of visible liquidity (0.07× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 3h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 17:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.7h
- 14:47SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.0pp
to 100¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 73¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 50¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 60¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 60¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 58¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 58¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 58¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 58¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 58¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between DetonatioN FocusMe and VARREL in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win Map 1 against VARREL. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VARREL win Map 1 against DetonatioN FocusMe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://vlr.ggNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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