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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner

Probability

56¢

1h

+2.5pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$2.5K

Liquidity

$4.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-20.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 56¢; +2.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 13.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 17:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.6h

    HIGH
  • 12:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -19.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between DetonatioN FocusMe and VARREL in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win Map 2 against VARREL. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VARREL win Map 2 against DetonatioN FocusMe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://vlr.ggNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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