Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
Probability
56¢
1h
+2.5pp
24h
-4.0pp
24h Vol
$2.5K
Liquidity
$4.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-20.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 56¢; +2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 5h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 17:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.6h
- 12:53SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 53¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 41¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 57¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 57¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 57¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 57¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 55¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 41¢0.0pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $887.8K
- 4¢+0.4pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $763.2K
- 12¢+0.1pp
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Sports · Vol $523.1K
- 13¢+1.3pp
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $521.2K
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between DetonatioN FocusMe and VARREL in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win Map 2 against VARREL. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VARREL win Map 2 against DetonatioN FocusMe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://vlr.ggNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).