Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 4 Winner

• 01
  Price move

  Up 37pp over 24h

  Now 100¢; +34.4pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Momentum observation firing

  Probability moved up 37.5pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 03
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Expires in 1h.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Fnatic and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2, initially scheduled for May 24 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Map 4 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Map 4 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 4. If Map 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.