Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$71.8K
Liquidity
$71.9K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.
Resolution is awaiting UMA confirmation. Price may move sharply when it settles.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 8, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 8, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.6h
- 18:22SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 48¢-3.0
Knicks vs. 76ers
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢-50.4
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 19¢+1.0
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+61.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic
Sports · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-42.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $740.8K
- 0¢-22.4
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Sports · Vol $710.0K
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between FUT Esports and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win Map 2 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
valorantReason
Question text matched the sports hard-marker "valorant" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner"?
As of Fri, 08 May 2026 18:22:24 GMT, YES is priced at 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 8, 2026 (2026-05-08T19:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://vlr.gg.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$71.8K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $71.8K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $71.9K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.1¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Hidden-Heater25.6K
- Ill-Mind6.3K
- Lustrous-Proceedings5.4K
- Reliable-Siding4.4K
- Disgusting-Box2.7K