SportsExpires May 4, 2026
Creator

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)

Probability

55¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-13.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$569.33

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 04:00May 1, 2026, 02:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 55¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 60¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 75.5h

    LOW

Price movement

-13.5pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.

Biggest hourly move: +19.0pp at 10:00 (to 69¢).

Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
  • 19:00 · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 17:00 · +18.0pp → 69¢
  • 10:00 · +19.0pp → 69¢
  • 09:00 · +18.5pp → 69¢
  • 1d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
  • 1d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
  • 1d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
  • 1d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and Team Envy in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for May 3 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports wins 2 or more maps than Team Envy in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Envy". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.