Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 Winner
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$21.8K
Liquidity
$318.17
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 68.5× turnover
$21.8k traded against $318 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $318 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 04Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:20SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 23:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 0h ago
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between HGE Esports and NOVO Esports in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "HGE Esports" if HGE Esports win Map 2 against NOVO Esports. This market will resolve to "NOVO Esports" if NOVO Esports win Map 2 against HGE Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.