SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 Winner

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$21.8K

Liquidity

$318.17

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 04:00Apr 28, 2026, 23:20
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 68.5× turnover

    $21.8k traded against $318 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $318 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:20Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 23:00Resolve

    Market resolved 0h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between HGE Esports and NOVO Esports in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "HGE Esports" if HGE Esports win Map 2 against NOVO Esports. This market will resolve to "NOVO Esports" if NOVO Esports win Map 2 against HGE Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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