Valorant: Misa Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 2 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+5.0pp
24h
+50.0pp
24h Vol
$3.8K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 50pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +5.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $7.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.7h
- 20:17SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h.
Price movement
+50.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +50.0pp at 20:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 20:00 · +50.0pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +27.5pp → 78¢
- 17:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
- 15:00 · +19.0pp → 69¢
- 13:00 · +18.5pp → 69¢
- 09:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
- 07:00 · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 05:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between Misa Esports and FUT Academy in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 3 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Map 2 against FUT Academy. This market will resolve to "FUT Academy" if FUT Academy win Map 2 against Misa Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.