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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs

Probability

80¢

1h

-1.5pp

24h

-2.0pp

24h Vol

$2.7K

Liquidity

$17.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 80¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $17.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 9h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 9 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 23:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 8.9h

    HIGH
  • 14:33Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Misa Esports and Galatasaray Esports in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against Galatasaray Esports. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray Esports" if Galatasaray Esports win the match against Misa Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://vlr.ggNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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