Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
Probability
61¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$419.89
Liquidity
$12.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 5.9h
- 22:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 1d ago (to 60¢).
Show top 8 of 21 hourly moves
- 22:03 · +5.0pp → 61¢
- 17:00 · +5.0pp → 60¢
- 00:00 · +5.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 60¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 0¢-56.5pp
Pistons vs. Magic
Sports · Vol $5.1M
- 100¢+22.4pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 100¢+51.4pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.5M
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.7M
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between NRG and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against NRG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.