SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)

Probability

35¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$250.98

Liquidity

$4.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 12h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 06:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 11.9h

    HIGH
  • 18:06Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.

Biggest hourly move: -18.5pp at 2d ago (to 34¢).

Show all 16 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 14:00 · +3.5pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +8.0pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +8.5pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +8.0pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +7.0pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · -18.0pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · -18.5pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · -18.0pp → 34¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between NRG and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG wins 2 or more maps than 100 Thieves in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "100 Thieves". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
vlr.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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