Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$250.98
Liquidity
$4.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $4.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 12h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 06:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 11.9h
- 18:06SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.
Biggest hourly move: -18.5pp at 2d ago (to 34¢).
Show all 16 hour-by-hour ticks
- 14:00 · +3.5pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · +9.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +8.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +8.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +7.5pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · -18.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · -18.0pp → 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between NRG and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG wins 2 or more maps than 100 Thieves in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "100 Thieves". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusvlr.gg
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.