Valorant: Otakar Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 Winner
Probability
11¢
1h
-27.0pp
24h
-44.5pp
24h Vol
$316.26
Liquidity
$4.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 45pp over 24h
Now 11¢; -27.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5h.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.9h
- 18:07SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5h.
Price movement
-44.5pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.5pp at 18:07 (to 18¢).
Show top 8 of 25 hourly moves
- 18:07 · -29.5pp → 18¢
- 15:00 · -13.0pp → 36¢
- 13:00 · -11.5pp → 37¢
- 11:00 · -11.0pp → 38¢
- 10:00 · -11.0pp → 38¢
- 01:00 · +13.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · -13.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 30¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between Otakar Esports and UCAM Esports Club in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 3 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Otakar Esports" if Otakar Esports win Map 2 against UCAM Esports Club. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win Map 2 against Otakar Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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