Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
Probability
48¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$59.30
Liquidity
$197.41
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 48¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.0h
- 15:27SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between REBORN and Misa Esports in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 27 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to " REBORN" if REBORN win Map 2 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Map 2 against REBORN. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.