Valorant: So:sweet vs X-CAST - Map 2 Winner
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
Canonical status
confidence: mediumSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Jun 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Jun 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Expires in 2h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 100.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Jun 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Jun 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Verification Brief
A guided checklist for what must be proven before this market is treated as reliable context.
Liquidity is thin enough that movement can be noisy. Verify source context before reading the move as information.
Verification goal
Map resolution-relevant sources to the exact criteria needed to avoid misreading price as settlement.
What needs proof
Primary source
requiredConfirm the primary news consensus source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.
Current evidence: https://vlr.gg
Contract wording
requiredExtract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.
Orrery verification task Valorant: So:sweet vs X-CAST - Map 2 Winner State: Illiquid — liquidity sensitive Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary news consensus source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Liquidity context: Check whether the move is supported by enough liquidity and volume to treat it as meaningful context. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.
Orrery verification brief Valorant: So:sweet vs X-CAST - Map 2 Winner State: liquidity sensitive Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.
Market link goes in reply
A controlled loop for durable sources. Every source must answer one criterion from this Verification Brief.
Sources
0
Criteria covered
0
Reviewed
0
Awaiting review
0
Submit a source mapped to a criterion
Recent source checks
Pilot audit summary
Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 15:00Scheduled resolutionHIGH
Market resolves in 2.2h
- 12:45SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 70¢0.0
Valorant: So:sweet vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
Sports · Vol $285.07
- 50¢0.0
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 10¢0.0
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: X-CAST (-2.5) vs So:sweet (+2.5)
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: X-CAST (-2.5) vs So:sweet (+2.5)
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: X-CAST (-2.5) vs So:sweet (+2.5)
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $9.9M
- 0¢0.0
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $8.4M
- 1¢0.0
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.9M
- 0¢+0.1
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 0¢+0.1
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.0M
- 0¢0.0
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant So match between So:sweet and X-CAST in the VCL Korea: Regular Season, initially scheduled for June 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "So:sweet" if So:sweet win Map 2 against X-CAST. This market will resolve to "X-CAST" if X-CAST win Map 2 against So:sweet. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
valorantReason
Question text matched the sports hard-marker "valorant" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Valorant: So:sweet vs X-CAST - Map 2 Winner"?
As of Thu, 04 Jun 2026 12:45:25 GMT, YES is priced at 50% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by Jun 4, 2026 (2026-06-04T15:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://vlr.gg.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $0.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $0.00. Spread between best bid and best ask: 100.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.