Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

• 01
  Price move

  Down 36pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; -50.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Momentum observation firing

  Probability moved down 35.9pp in 24h with 1.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 03
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Expires in 4h.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid wins 2 or more maps than Gentle Mates in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Gentle Mates". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.