Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?
Probability
58¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$12.86
Liquidity
$802.54
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 58¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5981h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 40.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5981.0h
- 18:59SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5981h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 58¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.0pp at 1d ago (to 56¢).
Show all 10 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:59 · +4.0pp → 58¢
- 16:00 · +13.0pp → 69¢
- 15:00 · +6.5pp → 63¢
- 09:00 · +10.0pp → 70¢
- 08:00 · +3.5pp → 64¢
- 1d ago · -11.0pp → 57¢
- 1d ago · -14.0pp → 56¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 56¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 56¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 21 Savage is featured on Drake's album "Iceman". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as "featured", 21 Savage must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (40.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.