Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$298.70
Liquidity
$12.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $12.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 198.1h
- 17:55SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Biggest hourly move: -36.5pp at 1d ago (to 11¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -12.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -36.5pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -16.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -17.0pp → 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediummutuamadridopen.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.