Will Alliance qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.8pp
24h
-6.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$89.50
Probability (last 7 days)
+25.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 27¢; +0.8pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1351h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 49.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1351.1h
- 16:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1351h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:56PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.7pp
to 26¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.4pp
to 29¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.9pp
to 21¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.7pp
to 24¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 11¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 18¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.7pp
to 20¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.9pp
to 25¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.6pp
to 25¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.1pp
to 22¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.1pp
to 24¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.6pp
to 24¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.2pp
to 34¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.4pp
to 31¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.9pp
to 24¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.9pp
to 25¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.6pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.1pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.6pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.3pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.6pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.6pp
to 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The IEM Cologne Major 2026 is scheduled to take place from June 2 to June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for IEM Cologne Major 2026.If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to IEM Cologne Major 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official ESL / Valve rules. If IEM Cologne Major 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of IEM Cologne Major 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the ESL website (https://pro.eslgaming.com/tour/cs/cologne/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 21, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumpro.eslgaming.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (49.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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