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OtherExpires Jun 21, 2026

Will Alliance qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Probability

27¢

1h

+0.8pp

24h

-6.2pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$89.50

Probability (last 7 days)

+25.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 27¢; +0.8pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1351h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 49.7¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1351.1h

    LOW
  • 16:56Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1351h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:56Price

    Probability up 25.7pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 28.4pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 19.9pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 23.7pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 10.4pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 19.7pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 23.9pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 24.6pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 22.1pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 23.1pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 23.6pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 33.2pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 30.4pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 22.9pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 23.9pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 31.6pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.1pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.1pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.6pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.3pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.6pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

The IEM Cologne Major 2026 is scheduled to take place from June 2 to June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for IEM Cologne Major 2026.If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to IEM Cologne Major 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official ESL / Valve rules. If IEM Cologne Major 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of IEM Cologne Major 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the ESL website (https://pro.eslgaming.com/tour/cs/cologne/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
pro.eslgaming.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (49.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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