Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Probability
7¢
1h
-1.3pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$670.58
Liquidity
$12.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 205.3h
- 10:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 205h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:40PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.1pp
to 12¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.3pp
to 10¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.0pp
to 9¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 6¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 6¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 6¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 10¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 12¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 13¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.7pp
to 5¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.0pp
to 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (8.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).