Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 3371h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $15.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.