Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$1.4K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 39¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 39¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 38¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).