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CryptoExpires May 1, 2026

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

Probability

14¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-8.0pp

24h Vol

$54.6K

Liquidity

$52.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:22
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 136.6h

    LOW
  • 11:22Signal

    Signal · Short-term vs. trend divergence

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -8.0pp.

    MEDIUM
  • 11:22Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 137h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:22Price

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from the creation of this market to April 30, 11:59 PM ET), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).