Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?
Probability
54¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$101.04
Liquidity
$3.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-42.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 54¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $3.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 873.1h
- 14:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 54¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 54¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 54¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 54¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 54¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.8pp
to 54¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.3pp
to 54¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.8pp
to 54¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.8pp
to 54¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 55¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 55¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 55¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 55¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 55¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.8pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.4pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.8pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.2pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.3pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.4pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.1pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.7pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bob Menery enters the ring for his May 2026 bout against Johnny Manziel. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the fight is not held because of any action by Johnny Manziel, Full Send Boxing, or any party that is not directly representing Bob Menery, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the scheduled fight does not take place by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for any other reason, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Full Send Boxing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).