ScienceExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?

Probability

3¢

+0.0pp

24h

-0.9pp

24h Vol

$2.10

Liquidity

$5.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:26

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.
2
Thin liquidity
Only $5.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 104.6h
LOW
15:26Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
15:00Price
Probability down -3.2pp
to 3¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -3.2pp
to 3¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -3.3pp
to 3¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability down -3.3pp
to 3¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.7pp
to 3¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.6pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.2pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWhich artists will have #1 hits in April?

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Apr 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket