Where can I see the live data, signals, and whale flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/will-cameron-boozer-be-the-3rd-overall-pick-in-the-2026-nba-draft renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/will-cameron-boozer-be-the-3rd-overall-pick-in-the-2026-nba-draft/markdown.

SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 24, 2026

Creator

Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Probability

60¢

-0.5pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$126.83

Liquidity

$515.98

Canonical status

confidence: medium

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

ILLIQUID

Reason

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 24, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
Official NBA data
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+10.5pp 7d

60¢

May 10, 2026, 00:00 UTCMay 16, 2026, 23:35 UTC

updated 23:35:36 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-16T23-35Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor

01
Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $516 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 24, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
Official NBA data
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

Jun 24, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolution
Market resolves in 912.4h
LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 60¢.

Biggest hourly move: +29.5pp at May 15, 06:00 UTC (to 60¢).

Show top 8 of 51 hourly moves

May 15, 15:00 UTC · +19.0pp → 61¢
May 15, 13:00 UTC · +19.5pp → 60¢
May 15, 12:00 UTC · +19.5pp → 60¢
May 15, 08:00 UTC · +19.5pp → 60¢
May 15, 06:00 UTC · +29.5pp → 60¢
May 15, 03:00 UTC · +13.0pp → 60¢
May 13, 17:00 UTC · +15.0pp → 65¢
May 12, 18:00 UTC · -19.5pp → 30¢

updated 23:35:36 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feed Browse related markets Alert me on the next trade

updated 23:35:36 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Why this category?

confidence: high

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?"?

As of Sat, 16 May 2026 23:35:36 GMT, YES is priced at 60% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.5pp in the last 24 hours, -0.5pp in the last hour, and +10.5pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 24, 2026 (2026-06-24T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$126.83 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $685.03. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $515.98. Spread between best bid and best ask: 4.0¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

12 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket