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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 20, 2026

Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$1.0K

Liquidity

$14.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 586h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $14.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 586.3h

    LOW
  • 13:40Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 586h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 20, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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