Will Dantes receive a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 128h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Wide spread — 52.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect. For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count. The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.