Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Probability
34¢
1h
+2.5pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$336.54
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.7h
- 11:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6018h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:20PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 34¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 33¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 36¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 32¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 33¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 36¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 29¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daylight (https://x.com/daylightenergy) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Daylight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).