Where can I see the live data, signals, and large-trade flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/will-diana-shnaider-win-the-2026-roland-garros-womens-singles renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/will-diana-shnaider-win-the-2026-roland-garros-womens-singles/markdown.

SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 8, 2026

Creator

Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?

Probability

21¢

-0.1pp

24h

+18.6pp

24h Vol

$700.35

Liquidity

$4.5K

Research loop

Inspect detail

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

Markets Detail Watchlist Alert Brief

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

LIVE

Reason

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 8, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
rolandgarros.com
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Share risk card Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+7.4pp 7d

21¢

May 27, 2026, 22:00 UTCJun 3, 2026, 21:30 UTC

updated 21:31:01 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-06-03T21-31Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

01
Price move
Up 19pp over 24h
Now 21¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
02
Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $4.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Set an alert if probability drops back below 16¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 8, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
rolandgarros.com
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Share risk card Read full market rules on Polymarket

Verification brief

live monitoring

The market is live. Track source, liquidity, and wording before escalating it to a resolution-sensitive task.

Primary source

required

Confirm the primary news consensus source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.

Current evidence: consensus of credible reporting

Contract wording

required

Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.

Telegram pilot prompt

Orrery verification task Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles? State: Live — live monitoring Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary news consensus source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Liquidity context: Check whether the move is supported by enough liquidity and volume to treat it as meaningful context. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.

X verification post

Orrery verification brief Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles? State: live monitoring Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.

Market link goes in reply

Source-drop audit

Submit durable sources that map to one resolution criterion.

Recent drops

Contributor audit

Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

Jun 8, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolution
Market resolves in 98.5h
LOW

Price movement

+18.6pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.

Biggest hourly move: -41.4pp at Jun 1, 03:00 UTC (to 3¢).

Show top 8 of 53 hourly moves

15:00 · +19.0pp → 22¢
Jun 2, 09:00 UTC · -39.3pp → 2¢
Jun 1, 07:00 UTC · -22.9pp → 3¢
Jun 1, 06:00 UTC · -19.4pp → 3¢
Jun 1, 03:00 UTC · -41.4pp → 3¢
May 31, 04:00 UTC · -32.5pp → 12¢
May 30, 21:00 UTC · +28.0pp → 42¢
May 30, 13:00 UTC · +33.0pp → 47¢

updated 21:31:01 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open large-trade flow Browse related markets Alert me on the next trade

updated 21:31:01 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Roland Garros Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Roland Garros Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Why this category?

confidence: high

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?"?

As of Wed, 03 Jun 2026 21:31:01 GMT, YES is priced at 21% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +18.6pp in the last 24 hours, -0.1pp in the last hour, and +7.4pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 8, 2026 (2026-06-08T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$700.35 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $847.37. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $4.5K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 3.4¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

15 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket