Will Drake feature Playboi Carti on ICEMAN?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-20.0pp
24h Vol
$10.16
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 20pp over 24h
Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.8h
- 13:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:12PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 11¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.5pp
to 11¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 11¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.5pp
to 11¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 11¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 11¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 10¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 9¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 20¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 20¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 32¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 31¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 30¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 33¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).