OtherExpires May 8, 2026

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?

Probability

90¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$902.31

Liquidity

$6.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 00:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:12
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 295h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $6.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 294.8h

    LOW
  • 17:12Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 295h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 04:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 8.2pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.2pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.7pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.7pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

12
Same eventWill Drake release Iceman by...?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 8, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

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