OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?

Probability

95¢

+0.4pp

24h

-0.2pp

24h Vol

$2.7K

Liquidity

$9.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+33.3pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:08

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 118.9h
LOW
01:08Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 119h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
01:08Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -3.6pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -3.3pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -3.2pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 18.4pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 13.5pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 13.5pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 12.5pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 15.4pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 31.9pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 32.3pp
to 96¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 30.8pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 33.1pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 32.4pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 31.1pp
to 96¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 32.6pp
to 96¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 31.6pp
to 96¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWill Drake release Iceman by...?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Apr 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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