CryptoExpires May 1, 2026

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Probability

7¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$8.3K

Liquidity

$68.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-27.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 7¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $8.3k traded against $68.0k of visible liquidity (0.12× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 126.9h

    LOW

Price movement

-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.

Biggest hourly move: -29.5pp at 02:00 (to 8¢).

Show all 39 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 21:00 · -12.5pp → 7¢
  • 20:00 · -13.0pp → 7¢
  • 19:00 · -16.5pp → 7¢
  • 17:00 · -14.5pp → 7¢
  • 15:00 · -16.0pp → 7¢
  • 14:00 · -17.0pp → 7¢
  • 12:00 · -22.0pp → 7¢
  • 11:00 · -25.5pp → 7¢
  • 09:00 · -26.0pp → 7¢
  • 08:00 · -25.5pp → 7¢
  • 06:00 · -26.0pp → 7¢
  • 05:00 · -24.5pp → 7¢
  • 03:00 · -26.5pp → 8¢
  • 02:00 · -29.5pp → 8¢
  • 00:00 · -25.5pp → 8¢
  • 23:00 · -24.0pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · -21.0pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · -23.5pp → 9¢
  • 1d ago · -24.5pp → 9¢
  • 1d ago · -18.5pp → 9¢
  • 1d ago · -20.0pp → 9¢
  • 1d ago · -11.0pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · -11.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -11.0pp → 9¢
  • 1d ago · -12.5pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · -10.0pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · -11.0pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -12.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -11.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -9.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -9.0pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -10.5pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -11.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -10.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -12.0pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -12.5pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 14¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhat price will Ethereum hit in April?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Link
binance.com
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket