CryptoExpires May 1, 2026

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$7.3K

Liquidity

$68.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-9.7pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $7.3k traded against $68.6k of visible liquidity (0.11× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 129h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 129.3h

    LOW
  • 18:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 129h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -6.8pp at 02:00 (to 1¢).

Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:39 · -3.9pp → 1¢
  • 17:00 · -3.4pp → 1¢
  • 16:00 · -3.7pp → 1¢
  • 15:00 · -3.9pp → 1¢
  • 13:00 · -3.8pp → 1¢
  • 12:00 · -5.8pp → 1¢
  • 10:00 · -6.6pp → 1¢
  • 09:00 · -6.3pp → 1¢
  • 08:00 · -5.8pp → 1¢
  • 06:00 · -5.9pp → 1¢
  • 05:00 · -5.8pp → 1¢
  • 03:00 · -5.8pp → 1¢
  • 02:00 · -6.8pp → 1¢
  • 00:00 · -5.5pp → 2¢
  • 22:00 · -5.3pp → 2¢
  • 20:00 · -5.6pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -6.6pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -4.8pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -4.8pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -4.6pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -3.3pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -3.1pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -3.1pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -3.7pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -3.0pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -3.2pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -3.2pp → 3¢
  • 4d ago · -5.9pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -5.4pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -5.8pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -6.3pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -5.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -5.3pp → 5¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhat price will Ethereum hit in April?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket