Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$232.06
Liquidity
$14.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 12¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1355h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $14.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1354.6h
- 13:22SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1355h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 21, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).