Will Google reach $375 in April?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$387.37
Liquidity
$5.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 135h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 16.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 134.8h
- 13:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 135h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:08PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 9¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 10¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 9¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 14¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 13¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.4pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.3pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.4pp
to 13¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.3pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 16¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 16¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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