OtherExpires —

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Probability

23¢

+0.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$656.15

Liquidity

$6.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-10.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:34

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 23¢; flat in the last hour.
2
Thin liquidity
Only $6.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

14:00Price
Probability down -8.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -8.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -8.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -8.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -9.5pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -11.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -11.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -10.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -11.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -8.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 31¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventHyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: —
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket