Will Iceland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$8.77
Liquidity
$3.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 493.1h
- 10:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 493h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 22¢-1.5pp
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 61¢-3.0pp
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $115.82
- 50¢0.0pp
Will another country be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 16¢+3.0pp
Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Norway be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-1.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 100¢+38.0pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $886.1K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $720.2K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $700.9K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $533.2K
- 88¢+3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $440.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).