Will Invictus Gaming make a roster change before July?
Probability
48¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.32
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 48¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1559h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 96.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1559.4h
- 00:33SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1559h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Biggest hourly move: -5.0pp at 2d ago (to 49¢).
Show top 8 of 10 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 50¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Invictus Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Invictus Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Invictus_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Soboro, Breathe, Wei, Rookie, Renard, JiaQi, and Meiko. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (96.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.