Will Kanye West mention Pete Davidson as "Skete" again on Instagram before March 1?

• 01
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 02
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 100.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

In Response to Trader Inquiry: As per market rules, this market only concerns Kanye West’s Instagram Posts, both the text and image portions of them. Stories do not count. Kanye West has recently referred to Kim Kardashian's present (as of February 19, 2022) boyfriend, Pete Davidson, as “Skete” on social media. This is a market on whether Kanye West's verified Instagram account (https://www.instagram.com/kanyewest/) will use the specific term "Skete" in any post made between February 19, 2022 (12:00:00 PM ET), and February 28, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET) (inclusive). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West's verified Instagram account uses the term "Skete" in any upcoming post made between February 19, 2022 (12:00:00 PM ET), and February 28, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET) (inclusive). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Kanye West's verified Instagram account: https://www.instagram.com/kanyewest/, however credible media sources will also suffice. Only the clearly delineated word “Skete” will trigger a “Yes” resolution. Variations of “Skete” which contain other and extraneous symbols and which are not in the exact order of the trigger word herein listed will not result in a “Yes” resolution. Please note, an appearance of the trigger term “Skete” displaying capitalizations at variance with the word herein delineated WILL RESULT in a “Yes” resolution so long as the letters of the term are in the correct order. Further, an appearance of the term “Skete” with up to 2 spaces between each letter will result in a “Yes” resolution, however any more spaces between any two letters in the trigger term will result in the market resolving to “No”. If the URL of Kanye West’s verified Instagram account changes before the resolution of this question, whichever URL the Instagram account moves to will be the valid resolution source for this market. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, an image posted by Kanye West's verified Instagram account containing the trigger term "Skete" will result in a “Yes” resolution. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, regardless of the font used in the image portion of the Instagram post, this market will resolve to “Yes” if the term “Skete” can be clearly read. No comments posted by Kanye West’s verified Instagram account will count toward the resolution of this question, only posts. Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned Instagram post later being edited or deleted. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an Instagram post containing the trigger term is published regardless of the individual publishing the post on the account.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.